What are your
actual odds
of passing?
PropSim runs 10,000 simulations of your trading
strategy against the exact rules of Lucid, FTMO,
TopStep, Apex, and MFF — before you spend a dollar.
0
Prop firms modeled
0
Runs in under 3s
0
Data ever uploaded
Simulation — Lucid Pro 50K · 10K runs
0.0%
Pass Probability
Expected Net Cash+$1,243
Median Days to Pass18d
P95 Outcome+$3,180
P5 Downside−$2,340
TARGET ZONE
SIMULATION BOUNDARY
MLL FLOOR
Engine
The numbers that
actually matter
Pass probability. Expected net cash. Failure breakdown by cause. Per firm, per account size.
01 — INPUT
Define your edge
Win rate, R ratio, std dev, trades per day — or drop a CSV. The engine builds your distribution.
02 — RULES
Rules applied exactly
MLL, DLL, trailing drawdown (Apex), consistency rule (MFF), minimum trading days.
03 — ENGINE
10,000 independent paths
IID bootstrap, block bootstrap, or parametric. Each path is a full rule-enforced attempt.
04 — VISUAL
Fan chart, not one line
P5–P95 confidence bands over time. See where MLL and profit target sit.
05 — COMPARE
Cross-firm ranking
Same strategy, five firms. Ranked by expected net cash after fees.
06 — FAILURE
Failure attribution
DLL vs MLL vs time expiry. Which rule is the binding constraint?
Method
Four steps, one answer
01
Define your edge
Win rate, R ratio, standard deviation, trades per day.
02
Pick your firms
Select one or several. Every rule is shown before you run anything.
03
Run 10,000 paths
Each path simulates a full challenge with daily P&L from your distribution.
04
Read the results
Pass rate, net expected cash, failure breakdown, median days to funded.
Coverage
Five firms that matter
LT
Lucid Trading
FT
FTMO
TS
TopStep
AP
Apex
MF
MyFundedFutures
Estimate
Rough odds
in 10 seconds
A simplified approximation. Open the simulator for full Monte Carlo distributions.
Win Rate 54%
Avg Win $220
Avg Loss $155
Trades / Day 3
Expected Daily PnL+$127
Profit Factor1.62
Est. Days to Target~24d
Approx. Pass Probability62%
Run your numbers
before you pay.
Most traders find out their pass probability after they've already lost the fee. You don't have to.
Open PropSim →
No account · No upload · Runs in your browser